Author: Robert Jessi

The USD/CHF bounces off weekly lows and meanders around 0.8080 after hitting a daily high of 0.8127, amid presumed intervention, with Nikkei reporting that the US Treasury Department has told currency market participants to prepare for additional intervention, following Thursday’s action by Japanese authorities to boost the Yen.USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlookThe USD/CHF rebounded, reaffirming its upward bias. The market structure suggests the uptrend will continue as long as spot prices remain above the 50-day SMA and the July 10 cycle low of 0.8010.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is turning bearish, aiming upwards, an indication that a recovery may be…

The first full week of August will test whether the US Dollar can recover from its sell-off during the last week of July as investors shift their attention from central bank decisions to a fresh round of economic data. The spotlight will be on July’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, while ISM surveys, ADP Employment figures and JOLTS Job Openings will offer additional clues on the strength of the US economy. In Europe, investors will assess whether inflationary pressure is beginning to ease through Producer Price Index (PPI), Retail Sales and Factory Orders data. Meanwhile, China will release key PMI and…

Analysts at Scotiabank expect renewed pressure on USD/CAD after its July decline, with a break below 1.4000 opening the way towards 1.3981 and the upper 1.39s. The US Dollar to Canadian Dollar exchange rate ended July near 1.4015 after falling 1.36% over the month. USD/CAD opened July around 1.4208 and reached a monthly high close to 1.4239 before retreating to a low near 1.3992. The pair remains 2.1% higher for 2026, having traded between approximately 1.3482 and 1.4248 since the start of the year. Scotiabank says the Canadian Dollar has benefited from the broader deterioration in US Dollar sentiment following…

Analysts at Scotiabank expect renewed pressure on USD/CAD after its July decline, with a break below 1.4000 opening the way towards 1.3981 and the upper 1.39s. The US Dollar to Canadian Dollar exchange rate ended July near 1.4015 after falling 1.36% over the month. USD/CAD opened July around 1.4208 and reached a monthly high close to 1.4239 before retreating to a low near 1.3992. The pair remains 2.1% higher for 2026, having traded between approximately 1.3482 and 1.4248 since the start of the year. Scotiabank says the Canadian Dollar has benefited from the broader deterioration in US Dollar sentiment following…

How will adjustment in Japanese stocks impact the USD/JPY?

Canada’s financial services sector, long characterised by stability and concentration among a handful of large banks, is undergoing a decisive digital transformation. Over the past 18 months, a confluence of regulatory reform, infrastructure modernisation and fintech innovation has begun to reshape how money moves, how data is shared and how consumers interact with financial institutions. The result is not merely incremental change, but the foundations of a more open, competitive and technology-driven system. The most significant shift has been the long-awaited arrival of consumer-driven banking, more commonly known as open banking. After years of consultation, the federal government confirmed in…

The month-end signal could be messy due to today’s stock moves, so I haven’t decided whether to play. The Cable signal looks decent enough. Takeaways by Dark Side of the Boom ™ The dollar’s summer rally has lost the clean Fed tightening story that carried it. Crowded positioning has turned a modest macro rethink into a much larger squeeze. Suspected Japanese intervention accelerated the move and damaged the old buy-the-dip reflex in . remains the cleaner expression of dollar weakness, with 1.150 as the first support zone and 1.160 the next test. Month End WMR Fix signal below The Dollar…

We cannot yet say with certainty that this is the early stage of a mini yen-funded carry unwind, but when the price action starts walking like a duck, it usually pays to assume there may be feathers somewhere nearby. Takeaways  • The U.S. Treasury has reportedly told banks through the New York Fed to prepare for possible yen intervention. • That raises the prospect of coordinated U.S.–Japanese action rather than another isolated strike from Tokyo. • The immediate target is , but the larger risk sits in the vast pool of trades financed with cheap yen. • A full carry…

Analysts at Scotiabank expect renewed pressure on USD/CAD after its July decline, with a break below 1.4000 opening the way towards 1.3981 and the upper 1.39s. The US Dollar to Canadian Dollar exchange rate ended July near 1.4015 after falling 1.36% over the month. USD/CAD opened July around 1.4208 and reached a monthly high close to 1.4239 before retreating to a low near 1.3992. The pair remains 2.1% higher for 2026, having traded between approximately 1.3482 and 1.4248 since the start of the year. Scotiabank says the Canadian Dollar has benefited from the broader deterioration in US Dollar sentiment following…

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