Author: Robert Jessi

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Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad expects UK September Consumer Price Index (CPI) and August labour data to be pivotal for Bank of England (BoE) pricing, with markets already discounting a 25 bps hike to 4.00% in November and 100 bps over twelve months. Haddad argues the BoE may not need to tighten as much, citing spare capacity, near-neutral rates, and likely fiscal tightening, which weighs on the British Pound (GBP).UK inflation and wages in focus”UK September CPI (Wednesday). Headline CPI is expected at 3.4% y/y (BoE projection: 3.0%) vs. 3.1% in August, core CPI is seen at 2.8% y/y vs.…

The Pound-Canadian Dollar rate could remain volatile as UK jobs and inflation data shape BoE expectations, while Canadian CPI may influence the Loonie. Trade in the Pound to Canadian Dollar (GBP/CAD) exchange rate was volatile last week, amid mixed domestic catalysts and fluctuating commodity prices. At the time of writing, the GBP/CAD exchange rate traded at CA$1.8869. Almost unchanged from the start of last week’s session. Latest — Exchange Rates: Pound to Canadian Dollar (GBP/CAD): 1.884791 (+0.05%) Euro to Canadian Dollar (EUR/CAD): 1.58918 (-0.15%) Dollar to Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD): 1.41394 (-0.39%) DAILY RECAP: The Pound (GBP) traded unevenly during the…

Investing.com — Canada’s weakening currency could complicate the Bank of Canada’s interest rate outlook if the U.S. dollar strengthens further, particularly as trade tensions threaten domestic growth, CIBC Capital Markets economist Avery Shenfeld said. Still guessing which stocks will beat the market? Our AI portfolio updates monthly and is outperforming the S&P 500 by 118%. See this month’s list » The Canadian dollar has lost about 5% of its value against the Bank of Canada’s trade-weighted currency basket since early summer 2025. Historical models suggest the depreciation could add around 0.3 percentage points to inflation at its peak impact, although…

Challenger shares surge 17% to eight-year high on $5.5 billion Daiichi Life offer

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Monday that underlying inflation near the 2% target. Ueda further stated that if bank raises short-term policy rate, long-term interest rates likely to rise steadily with policy. Key quotesUnderlying inflation near 2% target. Anchoring core inflation near 2% grows more crucial. Japan experiencing positive loop of increasing wages, recovering prices. Middle East conflict is driving up energy and other supply-driven inflation pressures. Robust global al demand driving up domestic capex, exports and various goods prices as demand-led inflation. Japan’s steady economic recovery and tight labor market also fuel inflation. No shift in central bank’s fundamental bond taper approach. It is inappropriate…

We were looking for the right inflation storm , but the FX wind changed direction while we were standing in it. Takeaways • We read the broad market tension correctly this week, but the change in leadership clipped the payoff as Treasuries reasserted themselves and the dollar refused to break cleanly. • FX is now caught between two competing stories: inflation is keeping the short end firm while AI overbuild fears are pulling money into the long end and flattening the curve. • That combination still argues for a resilient dollar against activity and EM currencies, while CHF remains the…

USD/CAD Forecast: Scotiabank Sees Little Support Before 1.40 The Canadian Dollar is recovering as US yield support fades, but Scotiabank’s fair-value estimate now sits close to the market after USD/CAD retreat. The US Dollar to Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD) exchange rate slipped further on Friday, with FX strategists at Scotiabank warning of little technical support before 1.40 after the pair broke below 1.4200. USD/CAD traded near 1.4152 at the time of writing, down 0.29% from Thursday’s close and almost 0.9% below Monday’s closing level. Latest-Exchange Rates: Dollar to Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD): 1.41525 (-0.29%) Pound to Canadian Dollar (GBP/CAD): 1.889388 (+0.30%) Euro…

USD/CAD Forecast: Scotiabank Sees Little Support Before 1.40 The Canadian Dollar is recovering as US yield support fades, but Scotiabank’s fair-value estimate now sits close to the market after USD/CAD retreat. The US Dollar to Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD) exchange rate slipped further on Friday, with FX strategists at Scotiabank warning of little technical support before 1.40 after the pair broke below 1.4200. USD/CAD traded near 1.4152 at the time of writing, down 0.29% from Thursday’s close and almost 0.9% below Monday’s closing level. Latest-Exchange Rates: Dollar to Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD): 1.41525 (-0.29%) Pound to Canadian Dollar (GBP/CAD): 1.889388 (+0.30%) Euro…

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